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Ali Martinez Fakeout or Breakout?

Ali Martinez Fakeout or Breakout?

Nvidia (NVDA), the world’s largest company by market cap, has hit a new all-time high price, reaching $237.87, taking the company’s market value to about $5.7 trillion.

But Popular chart analyst Ali Martinez says the stock is now near a major resistance zone and could see a pullback before a stronger breakout.

Nvidia Hits ATH as Morgan Stanley Names It Top Pick

Nvidia gained nearly 14% since September 14, rising from $208.93 to $237.88. The rally was mainly driven by strong AI demand and a bullish call from Morgan Stanley.

Morgan Stanley named Nvidia its “Top Pick” in the global semiconductor sector. The bank kept its Overweight rating and raised confidence in a $300 price target. It said demand for AI infrastructure remains strong, while limited data center space, power, and funding are creating new challenges for the industry. 

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This could keep demand for Nvidia’s chips high as large technology companies expand their AI systems.

Nvidia also expanded its share buyback plan by $150 billion, taking its remaining authorization to $235 billion through fiscal 2028.

Ali Martinez Warns of NVDA Fakeout or Breakout

Meanwhile, crypto trader Ali Martinez noted that the rally has now pushed NVDA to the top of a six-month price channel, where it is facing resistance. Thus, he says, he is now watching whether this move becomes a fakeout or a breakout. 

Further, he pointed to a similar setup from late April, when Nvidia reached channel resistance near $216.83 before falling about 10% to $194.74.

The stock later recovered, broke above the channel and climbed to a new high of $236.54.

If a similar pattern repeats, Martinez expects NVDA could first pull back toward $220 before testing the channel top again. A successful breakout could then open the way toward $260.

For now, he is watching the $225–$220 area for a possible entry instead of chasing the stock near resistance.

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